In 2005, the RAND Corporation published a report predicting
that the U.S. healthcare system could see a savings of $81 billion per year if
Electronic Health Records (EHRs) were widely used.
The report was quickly embraced by the health care industry
and used to get support from the federal government. It was this report that
helped to persuade both Congress and the Obama administration to authorize billions
in federal stimulus money to help fund the purchase of EHR systems by doctors
and hospitals.
The report was also used by companies selling EHRs to
generate business. Cerner Corporation saw their revenue almost triple since the
release of the report, increasing from $1 billion in 2005 to a projected $3
billion this year.
Now, eight years later, the New York Times is reporting
that a new analysis by RAND shows that the conversion to EHRs has failed to
produce the hoped-for savings in health care costs. The new report shows mixed
results in the best case scenario, and an overall increase in health care costs
in the worst case scenario.
While RAND isn’t taking a shot at estimating savings in
their new report, they have acknowledged that their previous one was overly
optimistic. Many are blaming the optimism in the original report on the fact
that it was funded by companies that had a vested interest in the outcome, including
Cerner Corporation. RAND insists that the funding source had nothing to do with
the outcome, and that they deliberately publicized the funding sources in the
original report. The new study did not
have any corporate funding.
Some experts are claiming that healthcare costs have risen $800
billion since the first report, due in part to the fact that the available
systems may be aimed more at
increasing billing by providers than at improving care or saving money. Others
are optimistic that despite the setback, usage of EHRs will normalize and
decrease costs in the long run.
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